OPEN-BOOK PREDICTION MARKET 20% FEE DISCOUNT FOR YOUR AUDIENCE

Everything on the label.
Up to 60% of the fee for you.

Pred shows the chance, the fee and our limits record before anyone taps. Send your football audience to a venue that never prices against them, and earn up to 60% revenue share for six months, then 20% through month 24.

62% = THE MARKET'S CHANCE
FEE 0.95% · SHOWN FIRST
NEVER LIMITED FOR WINNING
62% = THE MARKET'S CHANCE
PREMIER LEAGUE · SAT 15:00 OPEN BOOK
Arsenal v Chelsea
PRICES AT 09:00 SAT TAP ANY OUTCOME
FEE 0.95% · SHOWN FIRST
LIVE FORMULA: 2.5% × (1 − PRICE) At 62%, taker fee is 0.95% ($9.50 per $1k staked)
Up to +$5.70 / $1k
  • Backed by
  • Accel
  • Coinbase Ventures
  • Reverie
MATCHED IN 200MS RESOLVED IN 3–4 MIN CARD OR CRYPTO
Positioning v3.1 · Everything on the label

What your audience sees before they tap.

Pred is the open-book prediction market. In everything we publish and every widget you embed, each sticker carries one verifiable fact a football fan can check in seconds.

01 · THE CHANCE 62% = THE MARKET'S CHANCE

A price of 62 means a 62% chance.

Prices on Pred are set peer-to-peer between fans in cents from 0 to 100. There is no bookmaker overround baked into the line before anyone stakes a penny.

PROOF: LIVE ORDER BOOK WITH TIMESTAMP LIVE
02 · THE FEE FEE 0.95% · SHOWN FIRST

0.95% at that price, from our published formula.

Makers pay 0%. Takers pay 2.5% × (1 − price) of the stake, shown on screen before they tap. Anyone arriving via your partner link gets 20% off that fee permanently.

PROOF: 2.5% × (1 − PRICE) PUBLISHED
03 · THE LIMITS RECORD LIMITED FOR WINNING: 0

How many accounts we limit for winning: zero.

A sportsbook takes the other side of your audience's position and restricts consistent winners. Pred matches two sides and charges a fee, so winners never get stake-factored or closed.

PROOF: OPEN-BOOK REPORT STRUCTURAL
Commercial terms

Up to sixty percent for six months. Then twenty.

Revenue share on every user you refer, calculated monthly on commissionable revenue and paid within 30 days of month end.

MONTHS 1 TO 6
UP TO60%

Up to 60% of commissionable trading fees generated by every user who registers within 30 days of clicking your partner link.

UP TO 60% PARTNER SHARE
MONTHS 7 TO 24
20%

Recurring tail across two full football seasons. Every matchweek your referred users come back to trade, your commission compounds.

18-MONTH RECURRING TAIL
YOUR AUDIENCE'S PERK
-20%

Permanent 20% fee discount applied automatically to anyone who registers through your link. They pay less to trade than going direct.

BUILT-IN CONVERSION HOOK
CALCULATED Monthly on commissionable revenue
PAID OUT Within 30 days of month end in USDC
MINIMUM PAYOUT $100 threshold (rolls over below)
ATTRIBUTION Last valid click, 30-day window
PLATFORM Scaleo dashboard + sub-IDs & postbacks
Open-book arithmetic

See the fee formula. Calculate your cut.

Pred's taker fee is 2.5% × (1 − price) of the stake. Makers pay 0%. Adjust the market price and monthly taker volume below to see the exact numbers.

62¢ (62%)
$50,000
03 · Partner Revenue Share Window
THE FEE RULE (PAGE 11) 2.5% × (1 − 0.62) = 0.95% taker fee
PARTNER PAYOUT STATEMENT
Monthly commission projection
FEE 0.95% · SHOWN FIRST
Referred taker volume (monthly) $50,000.00
Standard taker fee rate (2.5% × (1 − p)) 0.95%
Gross taker fee at standard rate $475.00
After 20% audience link discount (net commissionable) $380.00
Your partner share (up to 60% of net fee) +$228.00
6-month cumulative at this run-rate (up to 60% tier) +$1,368.00
YOUR MONTHLY PAYOUT
Paid within 30 days of month end
+$228

Makers pay 0%, so only taker fills generate commission. Figures above show both the standard published formula and the net commissionable fee after the 20% referred-user discount.

PUBLISHED EXCHANGE FEE SCHEDULES (VERIFIED PRIMARY DOCS) ALL THREE USE BASE RATE × CONTRACTS × P × (1 − P)
Venue
Taker base rate
Maker rate
Source
PRED
2.50% (0.95% at 62¢)
0.00%
Published fee schedule (20% off via partner link)
Kalshi
7.00%
1.75% charged
Kalshi published fee schedule PDF
Polymarket
6.00% (3.00% top tier)
1.25% rebate paid*
Polymarket docs (*maker rebate beats 0% for passive makers; takers always pay less on Pred)
The difference your audience will feel

A venue, not a counterparty.

When you send your followers to a traditional sportsbook, that operator makes money when your audience loses, and it restricts the ones who win. On Pred, the incentives never clash.

Traditional Sportsbook COUNTERPARTY MODEL

Prices a market, hides its margin inside the odds, and takes the other side of every customer stake.

  • 7.8%
    Average margin lost to the overround across 84,230 European football matches before a ball is kicked.
  • 643,779
    Active UK accounts restricted (4.31% of 14.92m sampled), with 62.17% hit by stake-factor reductions when they win.
  • Delayed
    Cash-out priced by the house with an extra margin slice removed mid-match.
SOURCES: HEGARTY & WHELAN (UCD WP23/04, 2023) · UK GAMBLING COMMISSION (JULY 2025)
PRED OPEN-BOOK EXCHANGE

Matches two football fans on a shared order book and shows the chance, the fee and the limits record up front.

  • 0.95%
    Taker fee at a 62¢ price (2.5% × (1 − price)), shown on screen before you tap. Makers pay 0%.
  • 0 limited
    Never limited for winning. Pred takes no position against the customer, so a winning account costs the venue nothing.
  • 200ms
    Order matching in 200ms. Sell before full time when there is a buyer at your price, and settle within 3–4 minutes of the confirmed result.
EVERYTHING ON THE LABEL · VERIFIABLE BEFORE EVERY TRADE
What you get to work with

Six parts make a Pred ad. Built for every surface.

Every banner, social card and embeddable price widget follows Brand Guidelines 2.0. Preview how our creative adapts across formats and white publisher pages below.

PRED 1 · LOGO
Facts first. Then the football.
PREMIER LEAGUE · SAT 15:00
Arsenal v Chelsea
Arsenal62%
Draw21%
Chelsea17%
PRICES AT 09:00 SAT
62% = THE MARKET'S CHANCE FEE 0.95% · SHOWN FIRST NEVER LIMITED FOR WINNING
See the price →
18+ · BeGambleAware.org
BRAND GUIDELINES 2.0 · AD & WIDGET ANATOMY
  1. 1

    Logo & Co-Branding

    Top left, white on photography or Ink on light partner surfaces. Never tilted, never placed on a sticker.

  2. 2

    Headline (Geist ExtraBold)

    One feeling or one fact, six words or fewer, sentence case. Attitude lives in the headline, never on a sticker.

  3. 3

    The Price Card

    A real fixture with plain-text club names, Geist Mono Bold prices, active outcome in Ink with Volt price, and a timestamp.

  4. 4

    Fact Labels (Up to 3)

    Tilted 2° to 8°, white rim, Geist Mono Bold. Carries the chance, the fee formula and the limits record.

  5. 5

    Single Volt CTA + Deep Links

    "See the price →" routes straight to the fixture via Scaleo with sub-IDs, postbacks and your audience's 20% fee discount attached.

Voice · Cheeky about the football, straight about money

Written to be lifted.

We joke about the match all day, never about money, and every money line carries a number. Copy any script below straight into an X thread, YouTube description or Telegram pin.

01

Pred is the open-book prediction market. A traditional bookie prices a match, hides a 7.8% margin inside the odds, and takes the other side of your position. When you win consistently, you get stake-factored or closed.

02

Everything is on the label before you tap. A price of 62 means the market gives Arsenal a 62% chance. At that price the taker fee is 0.95% from the published formula (2.5% × (1 − price)), and makers pay 0%. Pred never takes the other side, so accounts limited for winning: 0.

03

Equaliser in the 88th? Sell before full time. Sign up with an email, fund by card or crypto, and trade the Premier League, Champions League, La Liga, Serie A, Bundesliga, MLS and NBA. Orders match in 200ms, markets resolve within 3–4 minutes of the confirmed result, and my link takes 20% off your trading fees permanently.

Before you buy traffic

Where it works and the rules we run by.

Every campaign and landing page runs through our eight-point Label Test: true today, sourced, speeds kept apart, no wallet assumed, and cleared markets only.

OPEN

UK, EU & cleared markets

Serviceable markets where onboarding and card/crypto funding are active. Confirm your target geo list with your partner manager before launching paid traffic so every click can fund and trade.

CLOSED

United States, India & sanctioned regions

Traffic from excluded jurisdictions cannot open a trading account and will not generate commissionable revenue. Geo-gate all paid media at launch.

18+ ONLY

Age-gated & safer-gambling compliant

All partner promotions must target 18+ audiences only, carry the market's safer-gambling line, and never imply guaranteed returns or risk-free trading.

Questions partners ask

Straight answers.

No. Pred runs the open-book venue and never takes the other side of a trade. Because a winning user costs the exchange nothing and generates matched fees like everyone else, there is no stake factoring and no account closure for winning.

Makers pay 0%. Takers pay 2.5% × (1 − price) of the stake, so at a price of 62¢, the fee is 0.95%. Users arriving through your partner link receive a permanent 20% fee discount, and you earn up to 60% of the net commissionable revenue they generate in months 1 to 6, followed by 20% in months 7 to 24.

No. They register with an email address and can fund by card or crypto where available. Settlement happens in USDC on Base under the hood, so no external wallet setup is required to open an account or take a position.

We keep the two speeds strictly separate. While a match is open, orders match in around 200 milliseconds. Once the official match outcome is confirmed, the market resolves and settles within 3 to 4 minutes, compared with hours on competing oracle-based venues.

Yes. Scaleo tracking links support fixture deep links, sub-IDs and server-to-server postbacks. You can also send traffic through our high-converting V2.0 fan acquisition page at affiliate.pred.app/campaigns, which automatically preserves your tracking parameters.

UP TO 60% MONTHS 1–6 20% MONTHS 7–24 EVERYTHING ON THE LABEL

Bring the football crowd.
We'll show them the price.

Applications are reviewed within two business days. You will get Scaleo tracking links, V2.0 fixture creative and a dedicated partner manager on approval.

Apply to partner Preview fan landing page →